Conf = NESCAC ------ State =
Mascot = ------ Coach = arrellGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.8140411 home-field advantage = -0.65 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 A Colby NESCAC ( 9- 8, 91.9) 16-11 304 H Western Connecticut Little East (15- 4, 86.3) 19- 2 307 A Amherst NESCAC (13- 5, 96.5) 13-14 310 A MIT NEWMAC (16- 4, 91.3) 17- 6 315 H Chicago CCIW (11- 6, 92.3) 16- 7 318 A Gettysburg Centennial (14- 7, 94.5) 16-12 321 H Trinity NESCAC (14- 6, 96.3) 15- 5 322 H Colorado College WIAC (16- 4, 90.5) 20- 1 328 H Middlebury NESCAC (21- 0, 99.9) 10-11 401 H Williams NESCAC (12- 8, 93.9) 17- 9 404 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 3-11, 87.0) 20- 4 408 H Bates NESCAC ( 7- 9, 91.4) 16- 8 411 A Wesleyan NESCAC (18- 3, 98.6) 11-10 418 H Hamilton NESCAC ( 5-10, 91.7) 15- 6 422 A Bowdoin NESCAC ( 6- 9, 91.7) 14-11 425 H Colby NESCAC ( 9- 8, 91.9) 20- 7 502 H Wesleyan NESCAC (18- 3, 98.6) 9-10 510 H Haverford Centennial (14- 7, 92.8) 17- 7 516 H Gettysburg Centennial (14- 7, 94.5) 16- 7 517 H Williams NESCAC (12- 8, 93.9) 16-10 522 N Middlebury NESCAC (21- 0, 99.9)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Colby 16-11 5 6 -1.29 304 H Western Connecticut 19- 2 17 13 0.00 307 A Amherst 13-14 -1 1 - -2.70 310 A MIT 17- 6 11 6 0.16 315 H Chicago 16- 7 9 7 0.00 318 A Gettysburg 16-12 4 3 0.32 321 H Trinity 15- 5 10 3 + 3.87 322 H Colorado College 20- 1 19 8 0.00 328 H Middlebury 10-11 -1 0 -0.57 401 H Williams 17- 9 8 5 1.46 404 A Connecticut College 20- 4 16 11 0.00 408 H Bates 16- 8 8 8 0.00 411 A Wesleyan 11-10 1 0 1.41 418 H Hamilton 15- 6 9 7 0.00 422 A Bowdoin 14-11 3 6 - -3.42 425 H Colby 20- 7 13 7 0.00 502 H Wesleyan 9-10 -1 0 -1.90 510 H Haverford 17- 7 10 6 0.38 516 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 4 + 2.01 517 H Williams 16-10 6 5 0.46UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Amherst 13-14 -1 1 - -2.70 422 A Bowdoin 14-11 3 6 - -3.42OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Trinity 15- 5 10 3 + 3.87 516 H Gettysburg 16- 7 9 4 + 2.01
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.81 Power Rank................. 2 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.24 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7675 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 7 RPI Rating............... .7189 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 22.2 Championship Rank ......... 2 Selection sum ........... 15 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 165. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 150. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 3 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 8.3